Research & Forecasting

As a regional land use planning agency, ABAG is responsible for describing existing conditions, forecasting changes to the population and economy, and assisting local governments to identify policies that address a changing environment.

The traditional focus of ABAG’s research and analysis has been its biennial long-term forecast of the region known as Projections. This forecast described our estimate of the changes in population, housing and employment within the region over the next 25 years.

With the passage of SB 375, ABAG’s forecast has become a part of Plan Bay Area, a joint effort led by ABAG and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) in partnership with the Bay Area’s other two regional government agencies, the Bay Area Air Quality Management District (BAAQMD) and the Bay Conservation and Development Commission (BCDC).

The most recent draft forecast for 2010-2040 is the Jobs-Housing Connections Strategy, also known as the Preferred Land Use Scenario for Plan Bay Area, which was adopted on May 17, 2012 by the ABAG Executive Board. Because it is linked to the Regional Transportation Plan, Plan Bay Area must undergo environmental review. This is anticipated to conclude in 2013. The last adopted forecast, Projections 2009, was published in August 2009.

Together with ABAG's Planning Department, the Research and Forecasting Department also produces an annual Housing Report for the Region, and develops the Bay Area's Regional Housing Needs Allocations (RHNA).

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