Smart Growth Strategy: Shaping the future of the nine-county Bay Area
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Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions

Simply click on a question to be directed to the corresponding answer. Our printable Project Fact Sheet (PDF) answers many common questions and summarizes key phases of the Project.

Regarding Smart Growth
What is Smart Growth?

Why must the Bay Area grow in a different way than it has grown in the past?

The Smart Growth Strategy/Regional Livability Footprint Project
What is the Smart Growth Strategy/Regional Livability Footprint Project?

How did the Project begin and who manages it?

What are the Project goals?

The Visioning Process

Who was involved in the Smart Growth visioning process?

What are the results of the visioning process?

How were the concerns and priorities of the public and local governments reflected in this process?

Products & Implementation

Does the Vision dictate land use to local governments?

The Smart Growth Vision isn't mandated... how will we see results?

How does Projections 2003 differ from ABAG's trends-based forecasts?

How will Projections 2003 be used and what is its intended objective?

When will we see results from Projections 2003?

Project Milestones

What is the timeline for the Smart Growth Project?

Answers

What is Smart Growth?
The smart growth concept is about development that creates a balance of job growth and housing growth, revitalizes cities, supports and enhances transportation alternatives, and preserves open spaces and agricultural lands. It is a movement that has grown out of a nationwide concern that current development patterns are no longer in the long-term best interest of communities and people. Communities are questioning the economic costs of neglecting infrastructure in the city only to rebuild it further out, the social costs of mismatch between employment locations and where workers actually live, the "eating up" of open space and prime agricultural lands at the suburban fringe, and the pollution of an entire region caused by driving further to get to jobs and homes. Smart growth is about the connections between development and quality of life and about leveraging new growth to improve the community. You can also visit our What is Smart Growth? page.

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Why must the Bay Area grow in a different way than it has grown in the past?

Over the next 20 years, all of California is expected to experience substantial growth. In the Bay Area this growth is projected to be roughly one million new residents and one million new jobs. If we were to accommodate this growth the same way we have in the past, it will mean more freeways and less open space. It will mean longer commutes and the potential for worsening air quality. It will mean less time with family and more time on the highway. Overall, it will mean a degraded quality of life for most Bay Area residents. Unless housing is built in the Bay Area to accommodate them, about 250,000 people will be living outside the Bay Area -- in the Central Valley, the Sacramento Valley, the Monterey region -- and commuting to jobs in the Bay Area.

The premise of Smart Growth is that the Bay Area can grow in a different way than in the past and reduce the potential that valuable open space and agricultural land will be consumed to build an excessive amount of housing "on the edge." Transportation funding would be re-directed towards building and improving public transportation services and facilities instead of building more freeways and interchanges, and our quality of life would improve rather than continue to decline. In other words, Smart Growth means that by making better land use and transportation decisions we can accommodate our children and their children and others that want to make the Bay Area their home.

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What is the Smart Growth Strategy/Regional Livability Footprint Project?

The Smart Growth Strategy/Regional Livability Footprint Project is a groundbreaking visioning effort involving local government elected officials and staff members, community representatives, regional stakeholders, and business, equity and environmental coalitions. The Project's underlying objective is to figure out how the Bay Area can maintain its economic vitality and conserve natural resources while allowing all segments of society to share in the region's economic and environmental assets. The goal is to develop a preferred land use pattern, "Vision" to minimize sprawl, provide adequate and affordable housing, improve mobility, protect environmental quality, and preserve open space. The Vision will inform how the Bay Area can grow smarter and become more sustainable over the next 20-25 years, and will help frame other Project Goals to identify and secure regulatory changes and fiscal incentives that promote smart growth, and to develop policy-based Projections.

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How did the Project begin and who manages it?

The idea for developing a public workshop process for visioning how the Bay Area would grow began to ferment in 1999 with staff and elected officials at the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG). It then was presented to and embraced by the other four regional agencies: Metropolitan Transportation Commission, Bay Area Air Quality Management District, Bay Conservation and Development Commission, and Regional Quality Control Board. At about the same time, members of the Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Communities (Bay Area Alliance), a partnership of over forty membership-based groups organized around the three "E's" of sustainability-a prosperous economy, a healthy environment and social equity -- began planning for its own public planning process called the Regional Livability Footprint. The two projects, the Regional Agencies' Smart Growth Strategy and the Bay Area Alliance's Footprint Project, came together in 2000 as a joint effort and is being managed by ABAG staff. On-going assistance has also been provided in this collaborative effort by individuals representing the participating agencies and social equity, economy, and environment interests. More information about the history of the Project is available on our page.

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What are the Project goals?

The Project, from its outset, identified three goals:
  • Create a smart growth land use vision for the Bay Area to minimize sprawl, provide adequate and affordable housing, improve mobility, protect environmental quality, and preserve open space.
  • Identify and obtain regulatory changes and incentives needed to accomplish these objectives.

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Who was involved in the Smart Growth visioning process?

Members of the public, local government elected officials and staff members, and representatives of the three "Es" of sustainability (Economy, Environment, and Social Equity) were an essential part of the visioning process.

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What are the results of the visioning process?

Basically, there are two products from the workshops. The narrative Smart Growth Vision presents a picture of the region as it might look 20 years from now if smart growth principles guide our future land use decision-making. As a Vision, this narrative (which is highlighted in the Project Final Report) does not impose a requirement on local governments.

The second product of the workshops is a set of jobs and housing numbers developed by workshop participants who envisioned how their communities might look if different land use strategies are used. More than two thousand participants from the nine Bay Area counties participated in these workshops. Many different scenarios and kinds of development were considered, which in the end produced the set of jobs and housing numbers. These jobs and housing numbers, based on a decision by the Steering Committee, were used as a starting point by ABAG staff for the development of policy-based Projections as contrasted with the traditional trends-based Projections.

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How were the concerns and priorities of the public and local governments reflected in this process?

Each step of the Project has involved both the public and local governments. A Steering Committee made up of representatives of the regional agencies (all of whom are locally elected officials), and representatives of the Bay Area Alliance have overseen the development and implementation of the Project. The workshops were public and were attended by private citizens representing a variety of interests, as well as city, county and regional agency staff members and local elected officials. A narrative Smart Growth Vision has been approved by the Smart Growth Steering Committee, and is described in the Project's Final Report. Projections 2003, the policy-based growth forecasts that reflect the Vision, underwent a review and comment process, during which jurisdictions suggested changes to the final numbers. Any incentives and changes in regulatory decision-making will be enacted by elected officials at the local and state level.

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Does the Vision dictate land use to local governments?

The Vision will not control or dictate to counties, cities, and towns what land use decisions they must make. What comes out of this process, in addition to the narrative Vision, will be policy-based Projections, which will be used by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission as the basis for the 2004 Regional Transportation Plan, by other regional agencies in their planning efforts, and by local jurisdictions as a twenty-year smart growth guideline. Local governments retain their land use authority and their charge to oversee the growth of their communities. The Project simply is offering an alternative that can be used by local governments as a tool to make the best possible land-use decisions to better shape the future of the Bay Area.

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The Smart Growth Vision isn't mandated... how will we see results?

We hope to see results primarily in land use decision-making at the local level that reflects smart growth principles and the enactment of regulatory changes and fiscal incentives that give local governments the tools to make these different choices work.

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How does Projections 2003 differ from ABAG's trends-based forecasts?

Historically, ABAG has issued every two years trends-based population, employment, and land-use projections, with Projections 2002 as the latest forecast. These forecasts take existing and forecasted economic conditions and land uses to project future population, housing and employment. They reflect ABAG's best estimate of what is likely to occur based on existing local government policies and what has occurred in the past.

Projections 2003 is based on smart growth policies consistent with the Vision. These policy-based forecasts will assume local governments will make land-use decisions in the future that are different from those they have made in the past, e.g. approving slightly higher housing densities and/or rezoning commercial land to mixed use. In other words, policy-based Projections 2003 reflects job and housing growth scenarios for the next 20 years that are based on the premise of implementing smart growth land-use policies with the support of incentives and smart growth regulatory changes at the state level. More information on policy-based projections is available on the Projections 2003 page.

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How will Projections 2003 be used and what is its intended objective?

On March 20, 2003, Projections 2003 was formally adopted by the ABAG Executive Board. Now the projections will have the following short and long term applicability:

  • They will underscore the Bay Area's commitment to growing in a "smarter" way, and increase chances that regulatory changes and incentives can be obtained at the state level.
  • The Metropolitan Transportation Commission will base the development of its 2004 Regional Transportation Plan on Projections 2003, thereby beginning to influence transportation funding decisions which in turn could begin to impact future growth patterns (most likely after 2008-10 planning time frame).
  • They will be used as a benchmark in the future to evaluate how well the Bay Area moves towards a smarter land use pattern.

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When will we see results from Projections 2003?

This is a long term guideline. The Metropolitan Transportation Commission and other regional partners will utilize Projections 2003 to guide long-term infrastructure investments, in particular transportation improvements. On the other hand, there may be more immediate results if local governments voluntarily make local land-use decisions based on smart growth principles. Projections 2003 will periodically be revised and updated to reflect the smart growth dynamics that the Smart Growth Vision proposes.

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What is the timeline for the Smart Growth Project?

A Chronology and detailed analysis of the Smart Growth Strategy/Regional Livability Footprint Project is available on our Project Chronology.

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