EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Coastside Subregional Planning Project represents a regional approach to planning. While the concept of regional planning has historically been difficult for local governments to embrace and implement, in recent years a renewed interest in more creative and collaborative planning strategies has emerged. Jurisdictions within the Coastside Subregion have come to realize that they share certain values, interests and concerns that can be more effectively pursued from a coordinated, collaborative planning approach.


The Subregional Planning Process


The role of the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) in regional planning along the Northern California coastline began prior to the passage of the Coastal Act of 1976, at a time when local governments were solely responsible for regulating development and its potentially adverse impacts on fragile coastal resources. As stated in ABAG's 1973 Regional Ocean Coastline Plan for the San Francisco Bay Area, which represented the Coastal Element of their Regional Plan:

Existing and future use of natural resources, recreation resources, scenic values, and unique agricultural lands of the coastal area involve decisions which cannot be made solely by local governments which are not always able to identify larger interests. Although each governmental level has important contributions to make to a comprehensive planning and management process, regional, state and national perspectives are needed. ¹

One of the primary goals of ABAG's 1973 Coastline Plan was to promote the conservation of the Bay Area's coastal resources through a subregional planning approach. The 1998 Coastside Subregional Planning Project reflects a continued commitment to that goal.

With the City of Pacifica serving as the lead agency, the initial step in the subregional process was the creation of a project team comprised of agency staff from the Cities of Pacifica and Half Moon Bay and San Mateo County. With guidance from ABAG, this team reviewed existing coastal policies, plans and related documents and identified several issues for inclusion in an Issues Identification Report. Following distribution of the Report to interested individuals, organizations and agencies, three public meetings were held to receive community and other stakeholder input. Based on the comments received, three primary issue areas were identified as appropriate for further study on a subregional level: mobility, natural resource protection, and economic vitality.

With the issue areas identified, the project team drafted a work program that was approved by the City Councils in Pacifica and Half Moon Bay, the San Mateo County Board of Supervisors and the Midcoast Community Council. Agency staff then prepared an Administrative Draft Report followed by a Preliminary Draft Report that was widely distributed to stakeholders throughout the subregion. Over the ensuing public comment period, three additional public meetings were held to receive input from both elected officials and community stakeholders. After review by agency staff and elected liaisons from the four governing bodies, agreement was achieved on incorporation of comments into this Final Report.


Purpose of the Project


The Coastside Subregional Planning Project addresses the three issue areas identified by the public as appropriate for future consideration through a coordinated and collaborative planning approach. This Report describes current conditions in each issue area, identifies challenges to be approached on a subregional level and presents a series of recommended actions including changes to planning policies to promote their resolution.

The active participation of jurisdictions within the subregion is essential if progress is to be made in resolving the critical issues confronting Coastside communities. However, possible implementation strategies, including necessary staff and financial resources have not yet been identified. The next step will be for liaisons from the four elected bodies to sit down together to begin crafting a strategy for implementing the ReportÕs recommendations.

To that end, the liaisons have expressed support for establishing task forces in each of the three issue areas and have agreed that additional funding from ABAG and other sources should be pursued. To succeed, this subregional planning effort will require the ongoing participation of agency staff, elected officials and community stakeholders.

Subregion description The Coastside Subregion is roughly 60 square miles in size and includes the City of Pacifica to the north, the City of Half Moon Bay to the south and the unincorporated Midcoast communities of Montara, Moss Beach, Princeton, El Granada and Miramar in between. The area is defined on its western edge by the Pacific Ocean and to the east by Skyline Ridge which separates San Mateo County into two distinct regions, the Coastside and the Bayside.


ISSUE 1: MOBILITY
                 

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The steep terrain of the Santa Cruz Mountain Range divides much of the Coastside from the more accessible lands around San Francisco Bay and along the Peninsula, hindering safe and reliable access to the subregion. Limited water and sewer services, protective coastal planning policies, and constraints on the expansion of the two roads serving the subregion have, until recently, slowed the pace of development south of Pacifica and minimized associated increases in congestion.

Today however, the subregion suffers from some of the worst peak-hour traffic in San Mateo County where congestion increased 125 percent between 1995 and 1996, a rate more than double any other county in the Bay Area.2 Data in the June 1997 Countywide Transportation Plan Alternatives Report indicates that the maximum foreseeable public investments in highway and transit improvements will not be able to prevent congestion in the subregion from getting even worse by the year 2010.3 In addition to limited road capacity, other factors contributing to current and projected increases in congestion include a jobs-housing imbalance, limited access to transit alternatives, and a strong preference for driving alone to work.


The Jobs-Housing Imbalance


The pursuit of a numerical balance or ideal ratio between a region's job growth and housing development is widely accepted as an essential land use objective that can reduce increases in congestion and enhance mobility. Residents living near their workplace are able to avoid commuting long distances on the region's already congested roadways. However, a recent ABAG report reveals that between 1995 and 1997 the net increase in job growth throughout San Mateo County exceeded housing growth by a ratio of nearly 8 to 1.4 By the year 2020 net job growth is projected to outpace net housing growth by more than a 2 to 1 ratio.5

While the future job growth is projected to exceed housing growth Countywide, within the Coastside subregion, the opposite is true. Recent ABAG projections for the subregion indicate that new housing construction will continue to outpace growth in new jobs. While projections for the period from 2000 to 2020 show Pacifica with a small 5 percent increase in household growth, the Midcoast communities and Half Moon Bay will together experience a 50 percent increase in housing growth - the highest rates of housing growth in the county.6

During the same 20-year period however, job growth within the subregion is projected to average just 20 percent.7 As with the projected Countywide growth trends, the imbalance in job and housing growth projected for the subregion over the next 20 years represents a fundamental obstacle to any comprehensive strategy to address the Coastside's growing congestion problem.


Commute Alternatives


Convenient fixed-rail transit service such as BART or Caltrain is not readily available to commuters south of Pacifica due to the area's geography and remote location. Remaining commute alternatives include telecommuting, bus service, ridesharing and driving alone.

Interviews with transportation managers at several large Bayside high tech firms and with staff at the region's transportation systems management agency - Multi-City Transportation Systems Management Agency (MTSMA) - indicate that very few workers will telecommute on a regular basis in the foreseeable future.8 Aside from bus service between Pacifica and downtown San Francisco, commuter bus service in the subregion is very limited. According to rideshare coordinators who have attempted to establish Coastside car and vanpools, coast commuters as a group have demonstrated an exceptionally strong reluctance to give up their cars compared to commuters in other regions.9 The empty park and ride lots temporarily established during the closure of Highway 1 at Devil's Slide and the resulting congestion it created is testament to the level of local resistance to the rideshare option, even in gridlock conditions.


Commute Patterns


1990 Census data reveals that three out of four commuters living in the subregion drive alone to work while the others either carpool (15%) or take transit (4%). Countywide projections indicate the preference for driving alone to work will continue well into the future as commute patterns shift further away from jobs concentrated in San Francisco, which are well served by transit, to widely-dispersed job sites in San Mateo and Santa Clara Counties and the East Bay, where transit service is limited.10 Countywide projections indicate that by the year 2010, nine out of ten commuters will continue to drive to work.11


Land Use Reform


Strategies for addressing San Mateo County's increasing congestion recognize the need for multi-faceted approaches that combine commute alternatives such as ridesharing and transit with land use reforms. Reforming land use policies to improve the jobs-housing balance is identified in the County's Congestion Management Program as a method for achieving the region's congestion reduction goals.12

The San Mateo Countywide Transportation Plan: Alternatives Report, the first-ever Countywide analysis of the combined impact on the transportation system resulting from various land use and transportation plan scenarios, indicates that by the year 2010, key segments of Highways 1 and 92 will operate at the lowest level of service during peak commute periods.13 In addition, improvements in mass transit systems including Caltrain and BART extensions will not by themselves offer significant reduction in peak hour congestion Countywide and are even less effective within the subregion, given the area's geography and remote location.14 With housing development projected to outpace job growth on the Coastside over the next twenty year period, reforming coastal land use policies to foster a jobs-housing balance may represent an important approach to congestion management in the subregion.



Efforts to Balance Projected Job and Housing Growth

For the past two years planners and elected officials throughout the County have been developing creative new strategies to address the region's increasing congestion. Their efforts have focused largely on strategies to promote a jobs-housing balance through changes in land use policies intended to encourage the location of new housing closer to new employment centers, mass transit systems and major transportation corridors.

The County Planning and Building Division is currently developing a balanced growth program for future job and housing growth.15 If adopted, this program would be incorporated into the Land Use Element of the County's Congestion Management Plan. Yet, in its current form, the proposed balanced growth strategy does not address the Coastside subregion's unique jobs-housing imbalance where, in contrast to every other subregion in the county, a lack of job growth is projected to create a substantial surplus in housing.

The amount of residential development currently allowed by existing land use plans in the subregion would create a surplus of approximately 4,800 potential housing units above the number that would be needed to accommodate projected growth in Coastside jobs by the year 2015.16 If these housing units are built, and no parallel increase in job growth occurs, the subregion's jobs-housing imbalance will expand and further complicate all other strategies to reduce increases in Coastside congestion. Therefore, in developing land use policy for the Coastside, it is crucial for the County to acknowledge the importance of promoting a jobs-housing balance in the subregion by fostering additional job growth while exploring the feasibility of allowing other land uses in areas now zoned exclusively for housing.



ISSUE #2: ECONOMIC VITALITY

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An Economic Development Strategy for the Coast Subregion

Pacifica, the Midcoast and Half Moon Bay together share a common economic asset: the scenic beauty and natural resources of the San Mateo County Coastline. Each community has an individual as well as a collective interest in promoting land uses that both capitalize on and conserve the natural resources and scenic qualities of the entire subregion.

As discussed in the mobility section above, a lack of jobs suitable for the Coastside's professional workers has led to a jobs-housing imbalance and increased congestion as residents commute to job sites outside the subregion. The creation of an economic development strategy promoting businesses that provide jobs for the subregion's professional workers has the potential to improve the jobs-housing balance, reduce increases in congestion and stimulate the local economy.


Regional Economic Recovery


Constraints and Opportunities For The Coast Subregion

The strength of the Bay Area economy and the job growth it has created continues to attract businesses seeking the region's well-educated and entrepreneurial workforce. The impact of the continued economic recovery on the subregion can be viewed in terms of both the constraints on the area's ability to accommodate the growth as well as the potential opportunities such growth presents.

Job growth in the services and high tech manufacturing industries in San Mateo County and adjacent counties translates to increased demands within the subregion for housing and the infrastructure needed to accommodate it. Although existing plans in the subregion allow for substantial residential development over the next 20 years, there are major constraints on the Coastside's ability to provide the necessary infrastructure - particularly road capacity and water supplies - to adequately serve populations associated with this level of development. In addition, inadequate water supplies are likely to constrain future commercial and industrial development in Moss Beach, Montara and the Half Moon Bay Airport vicinity.17

Beyond infrastructure constraints, the Coastside is characterized by a number of unique environmental constraints which, if ignored, could lead to the unnecessary destruction of the coastal resources that provide the very basis for much of the subregion's economic vitality. For example, over 2,000 acres of farmland in the subregion is currently occupied by agricultural operations which in 1997 accounted for a combined average gross production value estimated at $81.6 million.18 Converting farmland to non-agricultural development would eliminate a significant coastal resource and reduce the Coastside's agricultural productivity. In addition, such loss of farmland would also alter the rural character of the subregion, itself a fundamental element of the Coastside economy.

State Coastal Act policies require that development not have significant adverse effects on coastal resources either individually or cumulatively.19 Hence, an economic development strategy must consider the Coastside's carrying capacity, or ability to accommodate growth and development within limits defined by natural resource capabilities.

At the same time, opportunities created by the region's economic recovery are exemplified by proposed strategies to develop new businesses within the subregion. Creating quality local jobs appropriate for the Coastside's professional workers will foster a jobs-housing balance, enabling residents to work closer to where they live. Fewer commute trips outside the subregion will reduce increases in congestion and improve economic productivity both locally and throughout the County.


HALF MOON BAY'S ECONOMIC ANAD BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY


Opportunities for Subregional Applications

The recent Economic and Business Development Strategy Report commissioned by the City of Half Moon Bay analyzes opportunities created by the regional economy to develop a local job market in Half Moon Bay that can also be applied to the subregion as a whole. As in Half Moon Bay, the creation of quality jobs for workers in Midcoast communities and in Pacifica may be one of the most critical elements of any long-range Coastside economic development strategy.

By applying the strategies outlined in the Half Moon Bay Report to the subregion, significant opportunities emerge to develop the coastal economy given the demand among small high tech firms in the surrounding region for highly skilled workers and the need for medium sized office space and light manufacturing facilities.20 Capitalizing on the existing entrepreneurial talent within the subregion to promote indigenous business development and expansion, together with strategic attraction of businesses from outside the area, could lead to the creation of a job market suitable for the Coastside's professional workers.21


Balancing Business Development With Other Economic Sectors


A finite supply of developable land and limited water and transportation capacity will require communities to evaluate the public revenue generating capacity of various land use scenarios to identify the most desirable mix of residential, commercial, light industrial, retail and visitor serving development. In addition, a review of land use policies and zoning ordinances may be necessary to determine the feasibility of locating new commercial and industrial facilities in the subregion.


ISSUE #3: NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION AND MANAGEMENT


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Covering approximately 60 square miles, the subregion contains roughly 22 miles of coastline and vast amounts of publicly and privately held open space. Given its proximity to a large metropolitan population rapidly approaching seven million people, the subregion represents a unique recreational resource of regional significance to the Bay Area and the state.


Local Preservation Efforts


A survey of existing open space lands recently completed by the Greenbelt Alliance indicates that over the next 30 years as many as 570,000 acres may be subdivided and developed throughout the Bay Area including over 3,000 acres within the Coastside Subregion.22 Four private, nonprofit land trusts have formed in recent years and are coordinating their efforts with regional land trusts, open space districts and state and federal resource agencies to acquire and protect the subregion's diminishing agricultural and open space lands.

Funding for open space protection within the subregion is being pursued through a variety of strategies including expansion of the boundaries of both the Midpeninsula Open Space District and the Golden Gate National Recreation Area. Efforts to obtain additional state and federal funds are also being actively pursued. These efforts represent the most promising attempt in over a decade to secure public support and funding for the acquisition and preservation of open space within the subregion.


The California Coastal Trail


The California Coastal Trail is envisioned as a contiguous trail system linking coastal recreation and shoreline access points along the state's 1,100-mile coastline while providing walkers, hikers, and bicyclists with an alternative to vehicular travel to and along the coastline.Within the subregion, shoreline recreation and access policies encourage the development blufftop vista points, beach access stairways, and related access support facilities such as parking and signage. However, while areas of the subregion benefit from Coastal Trail and related access facilities, much of the shoreline and blufftop land along the Coastside designated for public shoreline access lacks the suggested access improvements.23

The implementation of shoreline access policies in areas of the subregion has been hampered by a variety of factors: a lack of public funding, limited private development that might be required to provide public access and to fund improvements, and recent court rulings restricting local government's ability to exact public access benefits from private development.

State and local governments administer shoreline access policies by ensuring that individual development proposals include some provision for public shoreline access. However, while regulatory practices have in some cases increased shoreline access, in other cases, private development has diminished coastal recreation opportunities. Numerous offers to dedicate public trail easements, intended to mitigate a project's impacts on public access, have remained unaccepted and unavailable for public use, further reducing public shoreline access.

While LCP policies direct local and State agencies to coordinate their efforts in implementing shoreline access policies, there is no mechanism to facilitate the communication required to achieve the recommended coordination. Although the State Department of Parks and Recreation is encouraged to assume the major responsibility for the acquisition, development, and maintenance of public shoreline access, a process for implementing the access improvements outlined in the local coastal programs is needed. In addition, coordination between agency departments within the subregion needs to be enhanced to implement shoreline access improvments on land and easements owned by the local jurisdictions.

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cl 07/16/99